Scientist Who Warned Everyone Of Coronavirus Now Completely Changes His Tune

According to the Daily Wire, epidemiologist Neil Ferguson, the creator of the Imperial College London coronavirus model, which has been cited by The New York Times, made a revision in his model on Wednesday.

The model has been used by the government for policy and decision making, according to the Daily Wire.

Ferguson projected that roughly 2.2 million people in the United States would die from the coronavirus, and roughly 500,000 people would die in the United Kingdom if no action was taken.

However, after just one day of mandated lockdowns in the U.K., Ferguson has revealed that far more people are likely to have the virus than they originally figured.

Now, the epidemiologist predicts that hospitals will be fine handling the COVID-19 patients, and estimates 20,000 or far fewer will die from the virus.

The prediction changed from 500,000 dead to 20,000.

Alex Berenson, a former New York Times reporter, tweeted the new report on Thursday.

“This is a remarkable turn from Neil Ferguson, who led the [Imperial College] authors who warned of 500,000 UK deaths — and who has now himself tested positive for #COVID,” started Berenson.

“He now says both that the U.K. should have enough ICU beds and that the coronavirus will probably kill under 20,000 people in the U.K. — more than 1/2 of whom would have died by the end of the year in any case [because] they were so old and sick,” he wrote.

Berenson continued: “Essentially, what has happened is that estimates of the viruses transmissibility have increased — which implies that many more people have already gotten it than we realize — which in turn implies it is less dangerous.”

“Ferguson now predicts that the epidemic in the U.K. will peak and subside within ‘two to three weeks’ — last week’s paper said 18+ months of quarantine would be necessary,” the former reporter highlighted.

“One last point here: Ferguson gives the lockdown credit, which is *interesting* — the UK only began [its] lockdown 2 days ago, and the theory is that lockdowns take 2 weeks or more to work,” stressed Berenson. “Not surprisingly, this testimony has received no attention in the US — I found it only in UK papers. Team Apocalypse is not interested.”


More from Daily Wire:

Ferguson’s change of tune comes days after Oxford epidemiologist Sunetra Gupta criticized the professor’s model.

“I am surprised that there has been such unqualified acceptance of the Imperial model,” Gupta said, according to the Financial Times.

Professor Gupta led a team of researchers at Oxford in a modeling study which suggests that the virus has been invisibly spreading for at least a month earlier than suspected, concluding that as many as half of the people in the United Kingdom have already been infected by COVID-19.

If her model is accurate, fewer than one in a thousand who’ve been infected with COVID-19 become sick enough to need hospitalization, leaving the vast majority with mild cases or free of symptoms.

In other words, Ferguson’s highly influential initial model was off by orders of magnitude.